Irish abortion referendum: Exit polls suggest landslide for repeal

AbortionCounting has started in the Irish abortion referendum, hours after exit polls suggested a landslide vote in favour of liberalising the law.

Polls by The Irish Times and RTÉ suggested about 69% voted to repeal a part of the constitution that effectively bans terminations.

One of the main anti-abortion campaigns has already conceded defeat.

“The unborn child no longer has a right to life recognised by the Irish state,” said John McGuirk, from Save the 8th.

Counting began at 09:00 local time and the result is expected by the evening.

Those taking part in Friday’s referendum were asked whether they wanted to repeal or retain a part of the constitution known as the Eighth Amendment, which says an unborn child has the same right to life as a pregnant woman.


Mr McGuirk, communications director of the anti-abortion Save The 8th campaign, conceded defeat and said No campaigners were “deeply broken-hearted”.

“Shortly, legislation will be introduced that will allow babies to be killed in our country,” his statement said.

Child with Protect the 8th campaign Image copyright Getty Images
Image caption The Eighth Amendment was introduced after a referendum in 1983

However, he vowed that No campaigners would continue to protest, “if and when abortion clinics are opened in Ireland”.

“Every time an unborn child has his or her life ended in Ireland, we will oppose that, and make our voices known,” he added.

Earlier, Taoiseach (Prime Minister) Leo Varadkar, who supported the reforms, said it looked as if the country was about to “make history”.

Graphic showing results of RTE exit poll

Broadcaster RTÉ’s exit poll suggested 69.4% in favour of the Yes side and 30.6% for No. In Dublin, 79% of people voted for repeal, according to the RTÉ poll.

An exit poll released by The Irish Times points to 68% Yes to 32% for No.

Graphic showing results of Irish News exit poll in abortion referendum

Tweeting on Friday night, Taoiseach Leo Varadkar said: “Thank you to everyone who voted today. Democracy in action. It’s looking like we will make history tomorrow… ”

In other reaction:

  • Irish health minister Simon Harris tweeted: “Will sleep tonight in the hope of waking up to a country that is more compassionate, more caring and more respectful”
  • Prominent No campaigner Cora Sherlock expressed disappointment at the exit polls but said the pro-life movement would “rise to any challenge it faces”. She added: “Let’s go into tomorrow with this in mind”
  • Penny Mordaunt, the UK’s minister for women and equalities, called it a “historic and great day for Ireland and a hopeful one for Northern Ireland”. Northern Ireland’s abortion laws are much stricter than the rest of the UK
  • The leader of Northern Ireland’s centrist Alliance Party, Naomi Long, said it appeared to be an “incredible result” for the Yes campaign

Currently, abortion is only allowed when a woman’s life is at risk, but not in cases of rape, incest or fatal foetal abnormality.

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Media caption“Legislation will go as quickly as possible”

The turnout looks to have been higher than that for the country’s referendum on same-sex marriage and its most recent general election.

More than 3.2 million people were registered to vote in the referendum, with more than 100,000 new voters registering ahead of the poll.

The referendum was the result of a decades-long debate about abortion in the Republic of Ireland and was the country’s sixth vote on the issue.

Where does the law stand?

The now-controversial Eighth Amendment was introduced after a referendum in 1983.

It “acknowledges the right to life of the unborn and, with due regard to the equal right to life of the mother, guarantees in its laws to respect, and, as far as practicable, by its laws to defend and vindicate that right” – meaning the life of the woman and the unborn are seen as equal.

Since 2013, terminations have only been allowed in Ireland when the life of the mother is at risk, including from suicide.

Baby at count centre in Dublin Image copyright Brian Lawless
Image caption Young and old have been turning out at count centres

The maximum penalty for accessing an illegal abortion is 14 years in prison.

In 2017, the Citizens’ Assembly, a body set up to advise the Irish government on constitutional change, voted to replace or amend the part of Ireland’s Constitution which strictly limits the availability of abortion.

So the Irish people were asked if they wanted to remove the Eighth Amendment and allow politicians to set the country’s abortion laws in the future.

The wording on the ballot paper was: “Provision may be made by law for the regulation of termination of pregnancies.”

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Media captionThe background and potential outcomes to the Republic of Ireland’s abortion referendum

The ballot paper did not mention the Eighth Amendment or abortion, instead asking: “Do you approve of the proposal to amend the Constitution contained in the undermentioned Bill?”

Those who wanted to retain the Eighth Amendment voted No, while those who wanted to replace it voted Yes.

If a majority has voted yes – as appears to be the case – then the Irish government’s recommendation is that women will be able to access a termination within the first 12 weeks of their pregnancy.

However, beyond 12 weeks, abortions would only be permitted where there is a risk to a woman’s life or of serious harm to the physical or mental health of a woman, up until the 24th week of pregnancy.

Terminations would also be permitted in cases of fatal foetal abnormality.

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